Measuring the impact of Apprenticeships and 19-plus Further Education on productivity
Productivity is how much we produce with the resources we have available. Though the rate of productivity growth is influenced by a number of factors, a country’s skills level is a major component. Giving people valuable knowledge, skills and behaviours boosts their productivity.
The Index takes the increases in earnings attributable to different types of apprenticeships and 19-plus FE training and aggregates these to estimate a measure of total value-added from the system over time. This provides a proxy measure for the productivity impact of apprenticeships and 19-plus FE, based on the assumption that in a well-functioning labour market an individual’s earnings reflect their productivity. This approach is well-established in academia and public policy analysis - see, for example, Becker (1975) (opens in a new tab) and Mincer (1974) (opens in a new tab), and HMT (2018), The Green Book (opens in a new tab).
Using the Apprenticeships and 19-plus Further Education Skills Index
The Index reports on the value of funded adult (19-plus) Further Education achievements and all apprenticeship achievements. Skills Bootcamp achievements are not incorporated due to it being too early to derive estimates of economic returns which are comparable with those for other provision used in this publication, neither are Multiply achievements with no level assigned.
The full approach is set out in the Apprenticeships and 19-plus Further Education Skills Index Methodology but the Index is essentially measured as the change in value-added over time.
Value-added = Apprenticeships and 19-plus FE achievers * employment rate for achievers in that qualification * estimated additional earnings from achieving the qualification
The Index method holds both the employment rate and estimated additional earnings constant, so an increase (or decrease) in the Index would be caused by one or more of:
- An increase (decrease) in the number of learners;
- An increase (decrease) in achievement rates;
- A shift towards (away from) more economically valuable training, through more (less) learning being undertaken in qualifications with higher additional earnings.
The Index is not intended to be:
- A full assessment of the total value generated by the FE system.
- A full assessment of the productivity impact over a learner’s lifespan.
- A timely measure for evaluating specific policy changes.
- A method for tracking changes in the quality of qualifications delivered - the Skills Index monitors changes in the provision mix, i.e. the distribution of qualifications by level and subject.