The key social care groups referred to in this section are ‘at 31 March’.
In 2022/23 there was a return to pre-pandemic standards for GCSEs, with protection built into the grading process to recognise the disruption that students have faced. For VTQs that are taken alongside, or instead, of GCSEs and A levels, there was also a return to pre-pandemic standards in 2022/23.
Throughout this release, comparisons are made with 2022 and with 2019. The more meaningful comparison is with 2019, the last year that summer exams were taken before the pandemic, as 2023 saw a return to pre-pandemic grading, with some protections. In 2022 outcomes broadly reflected a mid-point between 2019 and 2021, to take account of the impact of the pandemic and in line with Ofqual’s approach to grading in 2022. It is expected that performance in 2023 will generally be lower than in 2022. Users need to exercise extreme caution when considering comparisons over time, as they may not reflect changes in pupil performance alone.
For more information see the Key Stage 4 performance statistics release for the academic year 2022/23.
Summary
Pupils in the key social care groups perform less well than their peers across all Key Stage 4 measures. However, children looked after and children in need reaching the end of Key Stage 4 are much more likely to have a special educational need (SEN) than the overall pupil population. Pupils with SEN have been recorded to have lower average attainment compared to the overall population. As such, the higher prevalence of SEN amongst children looked after and children in need accounts for part of the difference in attainment compared to the overall pupil population.
Attainment 8
Attainment 8 measures the average achievement of pupils in up to 8 qualifications. This includes: English language; English literature (if only one GCSE in English is taken then it is double weighted); mathematics (double weighted); three further qualifications that count in the English Baccalaureate (EBacc); and three further qualifications that can be GCSE qualifications (including EBacc subjects) or any other non-GCSE qualification on the DfE approved list (opens in a new tab).
From 2018, Attainment 8 had a maximum point score of 90, compared to a maximum of 87 in 2017 and 80 in 2016. This is a consequence of the phased introduction of reformed GCSEs graded on the 9-1 scale. These differences should be considered when comparing Attainment 8 scores before 2019.
The average Attainment 8 score has decreased for all pupils and across all the key social care groups compared to 2021/22 and are similar to pre-pandemic average scores achieved in 2018/19. Attainment 8 levels for the CLA social care groups are slightly higher than 2018/19 whereas average scores for the CIN and CPPO social care groups (and all pupils) are slightly lower than in 2018/19 with CPPO seeing the largest fall.
As in 2021/22, the average Attainment 8 scores in 2022/23 for all the key social care groups were less than half of that compared to the overall pupil population. The attainment of pupils across most of the key social care groups in 2022/23 was broadly similar, except for lower attainment for CLA for less than 12 months.
Attainment 8 by SEN
Children in the key social care groups perform less well than their peers across all Key Stage 4 measures. However, children looked after and children in need reaching the end of Key Stage 4 are much more likely to have a special educational need (SEN) than all children. Children with SEN have been recorded to have lower average attainment compared to the overall population. So, whilst many factors are involved, this accounts for part of the difference between the overall pupil population and children looked after and children in need. This is demonstrated by the general reduction in the difference between the key social care groups and the overall pupil population average Attainment 8 scores when looking at the individual SEN categories, including no identified SEN.
Attainment 8 by ethnicity
Average attainment scores vary by ethnicity and key social care group. For the overall pupil population and CPPO, Asian or Asian British children have the highest average Attainment 8 scores.
For CLA for at least 12 months, Black, African, Caribbean, or Black British pupils have the highest average score. For CLA for less than 12 months, mixed or multiple ethnicity pupils had the highest average score. For CIN and CINO, pupils with Unknown ethnicity had the highest average scores.
Conversely, in the overall population, and for CPPO, pupils with Unknown ethnicity had the lowest average attainment scores. For CINO, White pupils have the lowest average score, but for CIN at 31 March and CLA, pupils from other ethnic groups have the lowest average score.
Attainment 8 by period of care length
Average attainment scores increase with longer period of care durations.
Attainment in English and mathematics (grades 5 or above)
This measure looks at the percentage of pupils achieving grade 5 or above in both English and mathematics GCSEs. To count for this measure a pupil would have to achieve a grade 5 or above in either English literature or English language. There is no requirement to sit both.
The percentage of pupils achieving grade 5 or above in both English and mathematics GCSEs has decreased across the overall pupil population and all the key social care groups since 2021/22 but is generally higher than or similar to 2018/19.
The attainment of pupils across most of the key social care groups was broadly similar, except for lower attainment for CLA for less than 12 months. CINO were more likely to have achieved a grade 5 or above in both English and mathematics GCSEs (10.0%) than other key social care groups, including CLA for at least 12 months (9.5%) and CIN (9.5%).
The English Baccalaureate (EBacc) entry
The EBacc shows how many pupils are entering GCSEs (or AS level qualifications) in core academic subjects at Key Stage 4. The EBacc consists of English, mathematics, science, a language, and history or geography. To count in the EBacc, qualifications must be on the English Baccalaureate list of qualifications (opens in a new tab).
In 2020, this measure was less likely to have been affected by the cancellation of examinations as schools will have taken most of their entry decisions ahead of the COVID-19 disruption.
The percentage of pupils entering the English Baccalaureate has remained broadly stable for both the overall pupil population and those in key social care groups, with a slight increase for CLA for at least 12 months and a slight decrease for CPPO.
EBacc average point score (EBacc APS)
The EBacc APS measures pupils' point scores across the five pillars of the EBacc - English, mathematics, science, a language, and history or geography - with a zero for any missing pillars. This ensures the attainment of all pupils is recognised, not just those at particular grade boundaries, encouraging schools to enter pupils of all abilities, and support them to achieve their full potential.
For more information on these measures and their calculation methodology, see the secondary accountability guidance (opens in a new tab).
The EBacc average point score decreased across all the key social care groups and the overall pupil population in 2022/23 and in 2021/22 and is roughly in line with 2018/19. All the key social care groups have an average point score less than half that of the overall pupil population.
Progress 8
Progress 8 aims to capture the progress a pupil makes from the end of Key Stage 2 to the end of Key Stage 4. It compares pupils' achievement - their Attainment 8 score - with the national average Attainment 8 score of all pupils who had a similar starting point (or ‘prior attainment’), calculated using assessment results from the end of primary school. Progress 8 is a relative measure, therefore the national average Progress 8 score for all pupils is very close to zero. It can be used to compare the progress of different pupil characteristics.
A Progress 8 score of 1.0 means pupils in the group make on average approximately a grade more progress than the national average; a score of -0.5 means they make on average approximately half a grade less progress than average.
The average Progress 8 score is lower for all key social care groups than for the overall pupil population. CLA for at least 12 months perform better than children in other key social care groups and CLA for less than 12 months have the lowest average Progress 8 score of all social care groups.