2025 collection
In 2025 the process for calculating total admissions was reviewed. The total admissions figures used as the denominator for calculating rates of appeals lodged and heard are derived from outside the appeals collection and the school census appeals module. Before 2025 extensive manual calculations were carried out to derive figures as near as possible to the true number of new admissions into schools at the beginning of the new academic year. The process was labour intensive, complicated, and as a result not fully transparent. The end result also included a small degree of unquantified error. Therefore a decision was made to write code to produce a simplified, robust estimate of admissions.
The code followed the following principles for identifying new admissions into schools:
- All pupils found in reception in the spring census were new admissions that academic year.
- All pupils found in year 7 in a state-funded secondary school in the spring census were new admissions that academic year.
- Pupils in other school years and phases could only count as a new admission if their start date at the school showed them entering between 1 July of the previous academic year and the autumn school census of the new academic year - the ‘window’.
- Pupils entering year 7 at an all-through school are new admissions if they entered within the window and were not found at the same school in the summer census of the previous academic year.
- Pupils entering year 12 are new admissions if they entered within the window and were not found at the same school in the summer census of the previous academic year.
- Pupils entering the lowest year group found at a school are new admissions if they entered within the window and were not found at the same school in the summer census of the previous academic year (to capture transitions into middle schools).
- Pupils entering other year groups at a school would be new admissions if they entered within the window and were not found at the same school in the summer census of the previous academic year (to capture all other non-standard transitions into new schools).
School governance type has been taken as recorded at spring census and no attempt has been made to adjust governance types for schools that have e.g. academized since appeals were lodged. School census and APAD guidance state that appeals data should be returned by the local authority/school on the basis of the school's governance status as at Spring school census even if this means the local authority providing data to the school for their return.
By including pupils who entered schools during July of the previous academic year we include an unknown number of pupils who will have begun at the school before the end of the previous Summer term rather than in the Autumn term of interest. This group of pupils has been retained for reasons of consistency with the methodology in place before 2025 (see 2019 collection below).
The code excludes as new entrants cases where pupils' recorded LAEstab and entry date appears to show them moving schools but Get Information about Schools - GOV.UK (opens in a new tab) records show that it is the school that has changed its legal identity rather than the pupils who have moved. This can happen where a school academises or merges and records all pupils affected as having entered a new school from the date of the change.
The code was tested against the published data for 2024 and produced broadly comparable rates at national level. The change in outcomes is not sufficiently large to require this to be viewed as a break in the series. Caution should be exercised in comparing exact rates for appeals lodged and heard in 2025 with figures for earlier years at the level of sub-phase, governance type or local authority. However, overall trends in the data continue to be meaningful, as discussed in the publication text. The following observations were made:
- The new method identified 5,279 fewer total admissions than the published figures, a decrease of 0.3%.
- At the highest levels of breakdown the difference to published rates is negligible. Across both phases and all governance types, there is no difference in the rate of appeals lodged or heard calculated to one decimal point.
- Looking at phase and governance type together, at national level secondary voluntary aided schools had a 0.1 ppt reduction in their rates of appeals lodged and heard but otherwise the figures for combinations of phase and governance type remained unchanged.
- The biggest differences at national level were for non-infant primary pupils, with an overall increase in rate of appeals lodged of 0.2 ppt and appeals heard of 0.1 ppt. This suggests that the change in methodology mainly results in the inclusion of fewer pupils entering schools via non-standard transitions, either moving schools at unexpected year groups or moving into e.g. middle schools where pupils enter as standard into years other than reception or Y7.
- Differences amounting to fractions of a percentage point are more apparent as breakdowns become more detailed and cell sizes therefore become smaller. Caution should be taken particularly in interpreting changes in rates lodged and heard for specific LAs between 2024 and 2025, although generally variations were not more than around 0.2 ppt either above or below the published rates.
2019 collection
In 2019, some schools recorded July entry dates for their new cohort of pupils (year 7 for secondary and reception for primary). To ensure these children are recorded as new admissions, the data processing was adjusted from that year onwards to include entry dates from 1 July onwards.
2017 collection
Up until 2016, the school census returns for voluntary aided, foundation and academy schools provided only total appeals figures (plus the infant appeal subsets). For all through schools it was not possible to separately identify appeals relating to the primary national curriculum years and those relating to secondary years. As some of these schools would have recorded infant appeals, all such all-through schools had to be recorded as primary in the appeals dataset.
For the January 2017 collection, school census and onwards the admission appeals module was extended to separately record appeals for the primary and secondary national curriculum years. This meant that appeals in all through schools could be correctly recorded as relating to either the primary or the secondary phase. The new admissions data (used to calculate the proportion of lodged and heard appeals) was adjusted so that the figures were calculated on the same basis.
It was estimated that this resulted in a difference of about 1,100 appeals being correctly designated as secondary appeals (in all through schools) in 2017 rather than having to be recorded as primary appeals (in order to align with infant appeals already recorded separately). The figures for the number of new admissions, which are used as a denominator to calculate the proportion of appeals lodged and heard, were also recalculated to designate new admissions into all through schools according to the national curriculum year being entered. Thus the proportions of appeals being lodged and heard are all unaffected by the improvement.
2016 collection
In 2015, following the publication of the admissions appeals release, some stakeholders expressed concern that admissions appeals to some voluntary aided, foundation and academy schools were being under reported. An investigation by the department brought to light a likely omission of appeals by some voluntary aided, foundation and academy schools.
In response to this the admissions appeals module of the January 2016 census had additional checks put in place for schools who reported having received no appeals. The subsequent census return showed an increase in the proportion of schools reporting that they had received appeals (and processed them accordingly).
Analysis against local authority records and previous years’ appeal data has shown that some of this increase is due to schools reporting their appeals for the first time, rather than a general increase in appeals received. However, the exact breakdown (and how many appeals there would have been if the affected schools had submitted their appeals figures in previous years) cannot be ascertained.
In addition, other improvements to the 2016 census included comparing the recorded governance of each school – that is, whether they are foundation, community etc schools – with other records, such as edubase, and correcting those which were recorded differently. As a consequence a a number of schools were recorded as a different governance to 2015.
It is not possible to say precisely how many schools were changed, because there were also a number of academy conversions during the year, but the number of schools recorded as foundation schools was over 200 higher in 2016 than in 2015. This change affects the calculation of the appeals rates by school type. Where a number of admissions were, in 2015, incorrectly allocated to one school type when they were actually another, the heard appeals rate for the former could have decreased (because the number of appeals heard was divided by a larger number of new admissions) and that for the latter increased. The rate of appeals which were decided in the parents’ favour is calculated as a proportion of those heard and is therefore unaffected throughout.
Because of these changes, most of the figures for 2016 were not comparable to those for earlier years. As such a new timeseries was begun in 2016’s release and previously published data should not be compared to that released after 2016.