nc_year_group

pupil_forecast_and_202021_actuals

Academic year 2021/22

Actual pupil numbers and pupil forecasts by local authority, 2020/21 to 2025/26 - Primary

Actual pupil numbers and pupil forecasts by local authority, 2020/21 to 2027/28 - Secondary

Actual pupil numbers and pupil forecasts in England, 2020/21 to 2027/28

Estimated school places needed by local authority, 2021/22 to 2025/26 – Primary

Estimated school places needed by local authority, 2021/22 to 2027/28 – Secondary

Planned places by local authority, 2021/22 to 2023/24

School capacity by local authority, 2020/21 – Primary

School capacity by local authority, 2020/21 – Secondary

School capacity in England, 2009/10 to 2020/21

School sixth form capacity by local authority, 2020/21

forecast_hdc_places

forecast_hif_places

Estimates of future school places needed to meet modelled demand, calculated at planning area level and aggregated to local authority, regional and national level. Estimates reflect the position reported by local authorities at May 2021 through the School Capacity survey, supplemented with data from administrative sources on centrally funded programmes. Excludes sixth form and nursey places.

Estimates of future school place demand (place planning)

Places reported by local authorities in summer 2021 as planned to be added or permanently removed from their school capacity. Includes only projects with firm plans for delivery. Includes sixth form places. Excludes nursey places.

Local authority planned changes to school places

2020/21 pupil numbers on roll from the January 2021 School Census; pupil number forecasts by national curriculum year group as provided by local authorities; forecast number of pupils expected to attend places expected to be funded by housing developer contribution (HDC) agreements; forecast number of pupils expected to attend places expected to be funded by housing infrastructure fund (HIF) agreements. Includes national curriculum year groups from reception to Year 14.

Local authority pupil forecasts

Includes number of school places; number of pupils on roll from the May School Census; the number of schools at or in excess of capacity and the number of pupils in places that exceed their school's capacity; the number schools with one or more unfilled places and the number of unfilled places. All data includes sixth form places and excludes nursery places.

School capacity

Includes number of school places; yearly and cumulative change in the number of school places; number of pupils on roll from the May School Census; the number of schools at or in excess of capacity and the number of pupils in places that exceed their school's capacity; the number schools with one or more unfilled places and the number of unfilled places. All data includes sixth form places and excludes nursery places.

School capacity - national only

School sixth form capacity as reported by local authorities; sixth form pupil numbers on roll from the May School Census. School sixth form capacity was collected as a voluntary field in the 2018, 2019 and 2021 School Capacity surveys.

School sixth form capacity

Including children in need and child protection, children looked after and social work workforce statistics

Children's social care

Children in need and child protection

Children looked after

Children's social work workforce

Outcomes for children in social care

Secure children's homes

Serious incident notifications

Including Attendance in education and early years settings during the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak

COVID-19

Attendance

CO2 monitors

Confirmed cases reported by Higher Education providers

Devices

Testing

Including not in education, employment or training (NEET) statistics

Destination of pupils and students

Destinations of key stage 4 and 16-18 pupils

NEET and participation

Including early years foundation stage profile and early years surveys statistics

Early years

Childcare and early years

Early years foundation stage profile

Early years surveys

Including local authority (LA) and student loan statistics

Finance and funding

Local authority and school finance

Student loan forecasts

Including advanced learner loan, benefit claimant and apprenticeship and traineeship statistics

Further education

Further education and skills

Further education outcomes

Including university graduate employment, graduate labour market and participation statistics

Higher education

Education exports

Higher education graduate employment and earnings

Higher level learners in England

Participation measures in higher education

Widening participation in higher education

Including absence, application and offers, capacity, exclusion and special educational needs (SEN) statistics

Pupils and schools

Academy transfers

Admission appeals

Elective home education and children missing education

Exclusions

Parental responsibility measures

Pupil absence

Pupil projections

School and pupil numbers

School applications

Special educational needs (SEN)

Young offenders

School and college outcomes and performance

16 to 19 attainment

GCSEs (key stage 4)

Key stage 1

Key stage 2

Multi-academy trust performance measures

Including initial teacher training (ITT) statistics

Teachers and school workforce

Initial teacher training (ITT)

School workforce

Including summarised expenditure, post-compulsory education, qualification and school statistics

	Reception	Year 01	Year 02	Year 03	Year 04	Year 05	Year 06	Year 07	Year 08	Year 09	Year 10	Year 11	Year 12	Year 13
	Primary							Secondary
2020/21	625,103	627,186	629,153	639,982	655,353	654,309	642,534	619,739	623,167	598,878	578,734	562,578	222,343	189,552
2021/22	619,732	630,242	631,317	632,554	643,748	658,982	657,877	635,621	622,558	626,094	601,782	578,603	223,129	203,821
2022/23	610,912	624,695	634,167	634,085	636,032	646,935	661,962	648,759	637,804	625,017	628,237	600,893	229,038	205,085
2023/24	599,908	615,558	628,518	636,873	637,472	639,278	649,906	651,287	650,774	640,173	627,221	627,404	236,331	210,405
2024/25	590,398	604,626	619,091	631,044	640,113	640,348	642,135	639,260	653,017	652,638	642,123	626,169	244,426	216,990
2025/26	594,633	594,443	607,812	621,386	633,964	642,511	642,706	631,256	640,812	654,804	654,447	641,026	244,524	224,135
2026/27	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	631,227	632,466	642,186	656,159	652,877	249,070	224,171
2027/28	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	no data	632,410	632,110	633,672	643,757	654,604	253,045	228,165

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