Local authority pupil forecasts - national, regional, local authority
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2023/24 actual pupil numbers on roll from the January 2024 School Census and local authority forecasts of pupil numbers for 2024/25 onwards. Includes national curriculum year groups from reception to Year 13.
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Data set details
- Theme
- Pupils and schools
- Publication
- School capacity
- Release
- Academic year 2023/24
- Release type
- Geographic levels
- Local authority, National, Regional
- Indicators
- Local authority pupil forecasts (includes 2023/24 actual pupil numbers)
- Forecast housing developing contribution (HDC) funded places
- Forecast housing infrastructure fund (HIF) funded places
- Filters
- Phase and year group
- Time period
- 2023/24 to 2030/31
Data set preview
| time_period | time_identifier | geographic_level | country_code | country_name | region_code | region_name | old_la_code | new_la_code | la_name | planning_area_code | planning_area_name | education_phase | nc_year_group | pupil_forecast_and_202324_actuals | forecast_hdc_places | forecast_hif_places |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202324 | Academic year | National | E92000001 | England | Total | Total | 7991986 | z | z | |||||||
| 202324 | Academic year | National | E92000001 | England | Primary | Primary total | 4426051 | z | z | |||||||
| 202324 | Academic year | National | E92000001 | England | Primary | Reception | 596876 | z | z | |||||||
| 202324 | Academic year | National | E92000001 | England | Primary | Year 01 | 615405 | z | z | |||||||
| 202324 | Academic year | National | E92000001 | England | Primary | Year 02 | 631419 | z | z |
Variables in this data set
| Variable name | Variable description |
|---|---|
| forecast_hdc_places | Forecast housing developing contribution (HDC) funded places |
| forecast_hif_places | Forecast housing infrastructure fund (HIF) funded places |
| nc_year_group | Phase and year group |
| pupil_forecast_and_202324_actuals | Local authority pupil forecasts (includes 2023/24 actual pupil numbers) |
Footnotes
- Number of actual pupils on roll in 2023/24 taken from January 2024 School Census.
- Pupil forecasts are provided from 2024/25 to 2028/29 for primary (Reception to Year 6) and from 2024/25 to 2030/31 for secondary (Year 7 to Year 13).
- Number of pupils expected to be educated in state-funded mainstream schools, provided by local authorities. Forecasts include future school places funded by Housing Developer Contributions and Housing Infrastructure Fund.
- Future school places funded by Housing Developer Contributions are provided by local authorities on a cumulative basis.
- Future school places funded by Housing Infrastructure Fund are provided by local authorities on a cumulative basis.
- National pupil forecast figures will differ to the National Pupil Projections published annually by the Department for Education due to methodological and timing reasons. More information can be found in 'Methodology: School capacity'.
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