Data set from Local authority school places scorecards

Local Authority Pupil Forecast Accuracy

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Published 27 June 2024

Last updated 27 June 2024

Pupil forecast accuracy for academic year 2023/24

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Data set details

Theme: Pupils and schools
Publication: Local authority school places scorecards
Release: Reporting year 2023
Release type
Geographic levels: Local authority, National
Indicators: Actual primary pupil numbers 2023/24
Actual secondary pupil numbers 2023/24
One year ahead primary forecast accuracy percentage
Time period: 2023

Data set preview

Table showing first 5 rows, from underlying data
time_period	time_identifier	geographic_level	country_code	country_name	region_code	region_name	old_la_code	new_la_code	la_name	actual_primary_pupil_numbers_202324	scap23_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_202324	one_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	scap21_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_202324	three_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	actual_secondary_pupil_numbers_202324	scap23_forecast__secondary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_202324	one_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	scap21_forecast_secondary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_202324	three_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage
2023	Reporting year	National	E92000001	England						4427973	4432111	0.000934513	4407513	-0.004620624	3160690	3187728	0.008554461	3196859	0.011443387
2023	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000001	Inner London	201	E09000001	City of London	205	210	LOW	210	LOW	z	z	z	z	z
2023	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000001	Inner London	202	E09000007	Camden	9357	9551	0.020733141	9470	0.01207652	7606	7730	0.016302919	7620	0.001840652
2023	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000002	Outer London	203	E09000011	Greenwich	23824	23784	-0.001678979	24139	0.013221961	15485	15303	-0.01175331	15375	-0.007103649
2023	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000001	Inner London	204	E09000012	Hackney	16286	16433	0.009026157	17195	0.05581481	12238	12257	0.001552541	12443	0.016751103

Variables in this data set

Table showing first 5 of 10 variables
Variable name	Variable description
actual_primary_pupil_numbers_202324	Actual primary pupil numbers 2023/24
actual_secondary_pupil_numbers_202324	Actual secondary pupil numbers 2023/24
one_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	One year ahead primary forecast accuracy percentage
one_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	One year ahead secondary forecast accuracy percentage
scap21_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_202324	SCAP21 forecast primary pupil numbers on roll 2023/24

Footnotes

z indicates data is not applicable
x indicates data is not available
LOW indicates sample size is too low to calculate forecast accuracy

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