Data set from School capacity

Local authority pupil forecasts

Not the latest data

Published 23 March 2023

Last updated 23 March 2023

2021/22 actual pupil numbers on roll from the January 2022 School Census and local authority forecasts of pupil numbers for 2022/23 onwards. File also includes school places expected to be funded by housing developer contribution (HDC) agreements and housing infrastructure fund (HIF) agreements. Includes national curriculum year groups from reception to Year 13.

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Data set details

• Theme: Pupils and schools
• Publication: School capacity
• Release: Academic year 2021/22
• Geographic levels: Local authority, National, Regional
• Indicators:
  • Forecast housing developing contribution (HDC) funded places
  • Forecast housing infrastructure fund (HIF) funded places
  • Local authority pupil forecasts (includes 2021/22 actual pupil numbers)
• Filters:
  • Year group
• Time period: 2021/22 to 2028/29

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Data set preview

Table showing first 5 rows, from underlying data

time_period	time_identifier	geographic_level	country_code	country_name	region_code	region_name	old_la_code	new_la_code	la_name	planning_area_code	planning_area_name	planning_area_phase	nc_year_group	pupil_forecast_and_202122_actuals	forecast_hdc_places	forecast_hif_places
202122	Academic year	National	E92000001	England								Total	Total	7929397	z	z
202122	Academic year	National	E92000001	England								Primary	Primary total	4463615	z	z
202122	Academic year	National	E92000001	England								Primary	Reception	613569	z	z
202122	Academic year	National	E92000001	England								Primary	Year 01	632089	z	z
202122	Academic year	National	E92000001	England								Primary	Year 02	631121	z	z

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Variables in this data set

Table showing all 4 variables

Variable name	Variable description
forecast_hdc_places	Forecast housing developing contribution (HDC) funded places
forecast_hif_places	Forecast housing infrastructure fund (HIF) funded places
nc_year_group	Year group - Filter by phase and by national curriculum year group. Scroll down and select 'Total' for the sum of all primary and secondary year groups.
pupil_forecast_and_202122_actuals	Local authority pupil forecasts (includes 2021/22 actual pupil numbers)

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Footnotes

1. Number of actual pupils on roll in 2021/22 taken from January 2022 School Census.
2. Pupil forecasts are provided from 2022/23 to 2026/27 for primary (Reception to Year 6) and from 2022/23 to 2028/29 for secondary (Year 7 to Year 13).
3. Number of pupils expected to be educated in state-funded mainstream schools, provided by local authorities. Forecasts include future school places funded by Housing Developer Contributions and Housing Infrastructure Fund.
4. Future school places funded by Housing Developer Contributions are provided by local authorities on a cumulative basis.
5. Future school places funded by Housing Infrastructure Fund are provided by local authorities on a cumulative basis.
6. National pupil forecast figures will differ to the National Pupil Projections published annually by the Department for Education due to methodological and timing reasons. More information can be found in 'Methodology: School capacity'.

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