Data set from Local authority school places scorecards

02 Forecast accuracy AY201819

Not the latest data

Published 29 September 2020

Last updated 29 September 2020

Data set details

Theme: Pupils and schools
Publication: Local authority school places scorecards
Release: Reporting year 2019
Release type
Geographic levels: Local authority, National
Indicators: Actual primary pupil numbers 2018/19
Actual secondary pupil numbers 2018/19
One year ahead primary forecast accuracy percentage
Time period: 2019

Table showing first 5 rows, from underlying data
time_period	time_identifier	geographic_level	country_code	country_name	region_code	region_name	old_la_code	new_la_code	la_name	actual_primary_pupil_numbers_AY201819	scap18_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_AY201819	one_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	scap16_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_AY201819	three_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	actual_secondary_pupil_numbers_AY201819	scap18_forecast__secondary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_AY201819	one_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	scap16_forecast_secondary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_AY201819	three_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage
2019	Reporting year	National	E92000001	England						4517464	4561554	1	4637791	2.7	2839889	2880425	1.4	2931623	3.2
2019	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000002	Outer London	301	E09000002	Barking and Dagenham	25049	25759	2.8	27557	10	13656	13842	1.4	14943	9.4
2019	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E13000002	Outer London	302	E09000003	Barnet	30240	30534	1	31953	5.7	20540	21094	2.7	21062	2.5
2019	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E12000003	Yorkshire and The Humber	370	E08000016	Barnsley	20013	20063	0.2	19170	-4.2	11484	11726	2.1	11482	0
2019	Reporting year	Local authority	E92000001	England	E12000009	South West	800	E06000022	Bath and North East Somerset	12931	13241	2.4	13775	6.5	10946	11223	2.5	11437	4.5

Table showing first 5 of 10 variables
Variable name	Variable description
actual_primary_pupil_numbers_201819	Actual primary pupil numbers 2018/19
actual_secondary_pupil_numbers_201819	Actual secondary pupil numbers 2018/19
one_year_ahead_primary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	One year ahead primary forecast accuracy percentage
one_year_ahead_secondary_forecast_accuracy_percentage	One year ahead secondary forecast accuracy percentage
scap16_forecast_primary_pupil_numbers_on_roll_201819	Scap16 forecast primary pupil numbers on roll 2018/19

Accuracy figures for Isles Of Scilly not presented in the Scorecard due to its small relative size. Positive percentages denote an overforecast. Negative percentages denote an underforecast.
: - Indicates data is not available.
Secondary Data for City of London are not applicable (apart from preference).
Dorset (838) and Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole (839) are new local authorities following changes to LA boundaries in this region in April 2019. Note that Dorset (838) is not directly comparable to pre-LGR 2019 Dorset (835). Data is shown where available for these new local authorities i.e. 2019 capacity. Where data is not available i.e. 2010 capacity, the data for Pre-LGR 2019 Bournemouth, Pre-LGR 2019 Poole and Pre-LGR 2019 Dorset, if available is shown for information, although the data is not directly comparable with the new local authorities. Quality data is available for Dorset (838) and Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole (839) and compares the schools in these local authorities to the comparable schools which were under the Pre-LGR local authorities to work out existing/new school places. The new places do NOT reflect places in schools new to the local authority due to the 2019 boundary changes.
Accuracy figures for City of London and Isles Of Scilly not presented in the Scorecard due to their small relative size. Positive percentages denote an overforecast. Negative percentages denote an underforecast.
z - Indicates data is not applicable

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